Determine price of a 3-year European put option with a $35 strike price. The annual discount rate is 4% annually compounded, the current price of the stock underlying the put option is $32, and the stock has an estimated up/down price change of 9% per year. Must use the 3 step binomial model.
Solution:
Calculation
of Put Option Price with the Binomial Option Pricing Model (BOPM)
with a Stock Price of 32, an uptick percentage of 9%, a downtick
percentage of 9%, a discount rate of 4%, and time =
3.
Since there are 3 periods,
our BOPM should contain 23 = 8 items
Each subset
term can be written using binary expansion representation starting
at 0 through 8 - 1 = 7 where D = Down and
U = Up
U = (1 +
0.09) = 1.09 and D = (1 - 0.09) = 0.91
Scenario 1: DDD
Price
Adjustment Factor = (0.91)(0.91)(0.91) = 0.753571
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 0.753571 =
$24.11
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 24.11) = $10.89
Scenario 2: DDU
Price
Adjustment Factor = (0.91)(0.91)(1.09) = 0.902629
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 0.902629 =
$28.88
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 28.88) = $6.12
Scenario 3: DUD
Price
Adjustment Factor = (0.91)(1.09)(0.91) = 0.902629
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 0.902629 =
$28.88
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 28.88) = $6.12
Scenario 4: DUU
Price
Adjustment Factor = (0.91)(1.09)(1.09) = 1.081171
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 1.081171 =
$34.60
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 34.6) = $0.40
Scenario 5: UDD
Price
Adjustment Factor = (1.09)(0.91)(0.91) = 0.902629
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 0.902629 =
$28.88
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 28.88) = $6.12
Scenario 6: UDU
Price
Adjustment Factor = (1.09)(0.91)(1.09) = 1.081171
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 1.081171 =
$34.60
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 34.6) = $0.40
Scenario 7: UUD
Price
Adjustment Factor = (1.09)(1.09)(0.91) = 1.081171
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 1.081171 =
$34.60
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 34.6) = $0.40
Scenario 8: UUU
Price
Adjustment Factor = (1.09)(1.09)(1.09) = 1.295029
Stock Price at time 3 = Initial Stock
Price x Price Adjustment Factor = 32 x 1.295029 =
$41.44
Put Price at time 3 =
max(0, 35 - 41.44) = $0.00
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