Following are forecasts of Target Corporation's sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA) as of January 30, 2016
Reported | Horizon Period | Terminal | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ millions | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Period |
Sales | $74,340 | $75,827 | $77,344 | $78,891 | $80,469 | $81,274 |
NOPAT | 3,345 | 3,412 | 3,480 | 3,550 | 3,621 | 3,657 |
NOA | 22,302 | 22,748 | 23,203 | 23,667 | 24,141 | 24,382 |
Answer the following requirements assuming a terminal period growth
rate of 1%, a discount rate (WACC) of 6%, common shares outstanding
of 602 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $8,488
million.
a. Estimate the value of a share of Target common stock using the
discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of January 30, 2016.
Instructions:
Round all answers to the nearest whole number, except for discount factors and stock price per share.
Round discount factors to 5 decimal places.
Round stock price per share to two decimal places.
Do not use negative signs with any of your answers.
Reported | Forecast Horizon | Terminal | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ millions) | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Period | |
Increase in NOA | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
Discount factor [1/(1+rw)t] | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |||
Present value of horizon FCFF | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |||
Cum. present value of horizon FCFF | $Answer | ||||||
Present value of terminal FCFF | Answer | ||||||
Total firm value | Answer | ||||||
NNO | Answer | ||||||
Firm equity value | $Answer | ||||||
Shares outstanding (millions) | Answer | ||||||
Stock price per share | $Answer |
Particulars |
Reported |
Forecast Horizon |
Terminal |
|||
($ Millions) |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
Period |
Increase in NOA |
- |
446 |
455 |
464 |
474 |
241 |
FCFF(NOPAT-Inc in NOA) |
- |
2,966 |
3,025 |
3,086 |
3,147 |
3,416 |
Discount Factor[(1/(1+rw)t] |
- |
.94340 |
.89000 |
.83962 |
.79209 |
- |
PV of Horizon FCFF |
- |
2,798 |
2,692 |
2,591 |
2,493 |
- |
Cumulative PV Of FCFF |
10,571 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
PV of Terminal FCFF [FCFF/(.06-.01)]*Disc Factor |
54,116 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total Firm Value |
64,687 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
NNO |
8,488 |
|||||
Firm Equity Value |
56,199 |
|||||
Shares O/S (Millions) |
602 |
|||||
Stock Price Per Share |
93.35 |
|||||
Note
Calculation Of PV Of Terminal Value
So, Cashflow = 3416
Growth =1%
WACC= 6%
SO, Pv @ 2020 = [3146/(0.06-0.01)]= $68,320
Pv @ 2016 = $62,920*.79209= $ 54,116
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