You are the treasurer of Arizona Corporation and must decide how
to hedge (if at all) future receivables of 350,000 Australian
dollars (A$) 180 days from now. Put options are available for a
premium of $0.02 per unit and an exercise price of $0.50 per
Australian dollar. The forecasted spot rate of the Australian
dollar in 180 days is:
The 180-day forward rate of the Australian dollar is $0.50.
What is the probability that the forward hedge will result in more dollars received than the options hedge?
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Ans:
American Dollar Receivable : 350,000
Put Option Strike Price : $0.50 per American Dollar
Forward Price : $0.50 per American Dollar
So if the future Price fall below $0.50 in Put option we have a right to sell at $0.50 and if price rises above $0.50 we can sell at higher rates. But in Forward contract we can sell @ fix $0.50.
So it is 0% Chance that forward exchange will give more Dollars than Options.
So correct answer is Option C.
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